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Red204
205699.4
906217.4
124178.3
Blue194
368375.5
467881.2
591236.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192080100300400204194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
13Coral scored#10
63Coral points52
72Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +4
22Coral scored#23
80Coral points84
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
18Processor points18
20Net points20
38Algae points38
118Total teleop122
Reef
12L4#11
12L3#8
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
204Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#11
99.40.3
98.498.7
Auto28.5
Teleop60.8
End10.0
red by 18.2
81.20.1
80.180.2
Auto25.0
Teleop47.1
End9.1
Second
78.30.3
77.477.6
Auto26.4
Teleop50.4
End1.5
red by 2.8
75.50.1
74.474.5
Auto24.4
Teleop48.7
End2.5
Third
9062
#23
17.40.3
16.416.7
Auto1.1
Teleop15.0
End1.3
blue by 18.7
5912
#27
36.10.1
35.035.1
Auto9.4
Teleop26.0
End0.6