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Red138
353830.0
540976.0
999927.9
Blue143
716666.1
697835.1
399069.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131190050100150250300138143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+19Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+5
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points18
27Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#17
83Coral points60
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
109Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#9
10L3#7
7L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points2
138Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.00.1
75.976.0
Auto22.0
Teleop51.1
End2.9
red by 6.4
69.60.6
69.168.4
Auto16.8
Teleop43.7
End9.1
Second
3538
#26
30.00.1
29.930.0
Auto8.2
Teleop22.4
End-0.6
blue by 36.1
66.10.6
65.564.9
Auto12.1
Teleop46.9
End7.1
Third
27.90.2
27.727.9
Auto8.9
Teleop17.7
End1.4
blue by 7.3
6978
#15
35.10.6
34.634.0
Auto7.6
Teleop26.7
End0.8