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Red176
132577.0
502434.5
128545.1
Blue192
672532.8
301565.9
34059.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165164120140180200176192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+8
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points35
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +3
24Coral scored#23
87Coral points82
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
111Total teleop114
Reef
12L4#13
10L3#5
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points8
176Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.5
76.577.0
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
red by 11.0
65.90.6
65.365.9
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
Second
45.10.5
44.745.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.5
blue by 13.9
340
#4
59.00.6
58.459.0
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
Third
5024
#24
34.50.5
34.034.5
Auto12.1
Teleop20.1
End2.4
red by 1.7
6725
#17
32.80.6
32.232.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2