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Red161
132577.0
502434.5
128545.1
Blue183
672532.8
301565.9
34059.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164164150160170180161183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
12Coral scored#11
58Coral points54
58Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +7
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points54
2Processor algae#5
4Net algae#5
12Processor points30
16Net points20
28Algae points50
97Total teleop104
Reef
8L4#9
13L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points6
161Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.1
76.476.5
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
red by 11.0
65.90.5
64.865.3
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
Second
45.10.1
44.644.7
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.5
blue by 13.9
340
#4
59.00.5
57.958.4
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
Third
5024
#24
34.50.1
34.034.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.1
End2.4
red by 1.7
6725
#17
32.80.5
31.732.2
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2