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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds
Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+27Teleop
+31Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points38
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +13
18Coral scored#19
66Coral points67
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#6
18Processor points12
32Net points24
50Algae points36
116Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#8
10L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#35
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +21
2Foul points12
182Total score161
Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 11.0
Second
blue by 13.9
