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Red191
34059.0
301565.9
672532.8
Blue154
808930.9
415268.0
494679.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158203050100250300350400191154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+27Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave0
11Coral scored#7
57Coral points37
57Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +7
23Coral scored#20
84Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
106Total teleop99
Reef
14L4#7
5L3#8
8L2#7
7L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points2
191Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.8
64.265.0
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
blue by 13.4
79.30.6
79.979.3
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
Second
340
#4
59.00.8
57.258.1
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
blue by 9.0
68.00.6
68.668.0
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Third
6725
#17
32.80.8
31.131.9
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
red by 1.9
8089
#23
30.90.6
31.530.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3