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Red169
808930.9
415268.0
494679.3
Blue155
270251.4
136044.9
1001521.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212111050150250300350169155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+8Teleop
+28Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points10
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +13
21Coral scored#18
76Coral points63
1Processor algae#4
6Net algae#8
6Processor points24
24Net points32
30Algae points56
106Total teleop119
Reef
15L4#7
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points14
169Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.30.3
80.279.9
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
red by 27.9
2702
#13
51.40.6
50.851.4
Auto6.8
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
68.00.3
68.868.6
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 23.1
44.90.6
44.344.9
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
Third
8089
#23
30.90.3
31.831.5
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
red by 9.4
21.50.6
20.921.5
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4