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Red21
86524.0
502434.5
965910.1
Blue121
909851.2
34059.0
128545.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90167020030040021121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+82
Endgame+100
Fouls+100
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave0
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points33
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +58
0Coral scored#11
0Coral points38
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
0Total teleop58
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#4
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#4
1Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +100
6Foul points6
21Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#24
34.55.3
46.140.9
Auto12.1
Teleop20.1
End2.4
blue by 24.5
340
#4
59.02.1
61.158.9
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
Second
865
#16
24.05.3
29.123.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0
blue by 27.2
9098
#10
51.22.1
47.044.9
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
Third
9659
#22
10.15.3
18.713.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
blue by 35.0
45.12.1
38.636.5
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed73%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned