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Red166
270251.4
494679.3
415268.0
Blue129
672532.8
748039.7
132577.0
79%Model gave it21%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2361580100200300400166129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+21Teleop
+31Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
7Coral scored#6
35Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +14
19Coral scored#12
68Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
90Total teleop76
Reef
13L4#7
6L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
6Foul points0
166Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.33.6
89.686.0
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
red by 2.3
77.01.9
75.473.4
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
Second
68.03.6
77.073.4
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 28.2
39.71.9
48.446.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
Third
2702
#13
51.43.6
47.443.8
Auto6.8
Teleop39.4
End5.1
red by 18.6
6725
#17
32.81.9
34.332.4
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned