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Red109
136044.9
122933.4
503237.7
Blue83
999628.1
78150.6
808930.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14914810012014016018010983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
2Coral scored#2
11Coral points10
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#12
63Coral points44
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
87Total teleop56
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
109Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.91.7
51.249.4
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
blue by 5.7
781
#11
50.62.7
58.856.2
Auto12.3
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Second
37.71.7
39.237.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.5
End0.3
red by 6.8
8089
#23
30.92.7
41.638.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
Third
1229
#15
33.41.7
35.433.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 5.3
9996
#21
28.14.4
14.710.3
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsMissed