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Red99
122933.4
430832.0
1001521.5
Blue177
34059.0
415268.0
301565.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7422405010015020025030035099177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+70
Endgame+82
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +38
9Leave0
2Coral scored#11
10Coral points57
19Total auto57
TeleoperatedBlue +32
15Coral scored#19
54Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
6Processor points12
12Net points24
18Algae points36
72Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#11
7L3#8
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
21Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
4Foul points0
99Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1229
#15
33.40.4
32.432.8
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 34.6
68.01.3
72.371.0
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
4308
#12
32.00.4
37.738.1
Auto6.1
Teleop24.1
End1.7
blue by 34.0
65.91.3
61.259.9
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
Third
21.50.4
13.213.7
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4
blue by 37.5
340
#4
59.01.3
57.756.4
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned