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Red59
965910.1
909851.2
78150.6
Blue118
494679.3
270820.8
748039.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11118705015025030035059118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +33
5Coral scored#14
18Coral points49
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
26Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#4
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
6Foul points6
59Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#10
51.23.9
43.739.8
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
blue by 28.1
79.33.2
87.083.8
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
Second
781
#11
50.63.9
53.149.2
Auto12.3
Teleop35.5
End2.7
red by 10.8
39.73.2
45.342.1
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
Third
9659
#22
10.13.9
14.410.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
blue by 10.7
2708
#18
20.83.2
27.123.9
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned