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Red45
502434.5
999726.1
808930.9
Blue54
201315.2
86524.0
613520.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1265601001502004554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave6
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
2Coral scored#7
6Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points8
45Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#24
34.53.8
40.937.0
Auto12.1
Teleop20.1
End2.4
red by 10.5
865
#16
24.00.7
23.823.1
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0
Second
8089
#23
30.93.8
38.935.1
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
red by 10.2
6135
#26
20.60.7
23.222.5
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Third
9997
#14
26.16.4
16.810.4
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
red by 10.9
2013
#27
15.20.7
10.29.4
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
43%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed