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Red100
128545.1
502434.5
672532.8
Blue147
999726.1
491757.0
132577.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104178050150200250300100147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
6Coral scored#8
30Coral points38
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +37
11Coral scored#17
40Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
12Processor points12
8Net points24
20Algae points36
60Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
21Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
6Foul points0
100Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.7
35.835.1
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.5
blue by 31.9
77.00.1
72.372.5
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
Second
5024
#24
34.50.7
37.036.4
Auto12.1
Teleop20.1
End2.4
blue by 22.5
4917
#20
57.00.1
62.462.5
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Third
6725
#17
32.80.7
31.230.5
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
red by 6.7
9997
#14
26.10.2
10.410.6
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsMissed