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Red111
748039.7
34059.0
999628.1
Blue44
808930.9
270820.8
613520.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448005010020025011144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+37Auto
+45Teleop
+69Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +37
0Leave6
10Coral scored#1
50Coral points7
50Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +8
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
6Processor points0
4Net points12
10Algae points12
35Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#8
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points2
111Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
59.00.3
56.456.6
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
red by 28.1
8089
#23
30.92.6
35.132.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
Second
39.70.3
42.142.4
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
red by 18.9
2708
#18
20.82.6
23.921.3
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End1.7
Third
9996
#21
28.10.5
8.48.9
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
red by 7.5
6135
#26
20.62.6
22.519.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed