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Red173
132577.0
808930.9
128545.1
Blue116
1001521.5
613520.6
373943.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16779050100150200250173116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave6
11Coral scored#2
55Coral points10
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
21Coral scored#17
75Coral points60
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
24Processor points12
12Net points24
36Algae points36
111Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#8
11L3#5
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
39Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points0
173Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.01.4
72.573.9
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
red by 33.7
3739
#19
43.32.0
46.548.5
Auto6.6
Teleop33.8
End2.9
Second
45.11.4
35.136.6
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.5
red by 23.6
21.52.0
13.715.6
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4
Third
8089
#23
30.91.4
32.433.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
red by 10.2
6135
#26
20.62.0
19.821.8
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
54%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed