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Red55
270820.8
86524.0
122933.4
Blue139
301565.9
672532.8
136044.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8015405010020055139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+82
Endgame+92
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +64
6Coral scored#17
22Coral points60
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
32Total teleop96
Reef
3L4#10
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
8Foul points0
55Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1229
#15
33.42.1
34.232.0
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 32.6
65.90.2
61.261.4
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
Second
865
#16
24.02.1
23.821.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0
blue by 20.8
44.90.2
43.743.9
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
Third
2708
#18
20.82.1
21.319.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 12.0
6725
#17
32.80.2
31.331.5
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned