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Red192
415268.0
748039.7
965910.1
Blue68
502434.5
999628.1
201315.2
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14547010020025019268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+40Teleop
+36Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
8Coral scored#5
38Coral points27
47Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +20
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points23
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
53Total teleop33
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +124
90Foul points2
192Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.01.3
66.465.2
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 33.5
5024
#24DQ
34.50.9
31.632.5
Auto12.1
Teleop20.1
End2.4
Second
39.71.3
42.441.2
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
red by 11.6
9996
#21
28.11.5
11.112.6
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
Third
9659
#22
10.11.3
11.910.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
blue by 5.1
2013
#27
15.20.9
9.810.7
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed