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Red192
301565.9
132577.0
86524.0
Blue117
491757.0
136044.9
748039.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16914550100200192117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+57Teleop
+57Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave0
10Coral scored#5
49Coral points27
58Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#11
62Coral points38
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
18Processor points12
20Net points24
38Algae points36
100Total teleop74
Reef
12L4#3
7L3#6
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
18Foul points0
192Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.00.7
73.974.7
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
red by 20.0
4917
#20
57.02.1
57.855.7
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Second
65.90.7
61.462.2
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
red by 21.1
44.92.1
43.941.8
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
Third
865
#16
24.00.7
21.622.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0
blue by 15.7
39.72.1
41.239.1
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned