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Red94
78150.6
373943.3
672532.8
Blue54
613520.6
965910.1
430832.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1505601002002509454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+48Teleop
+44Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
76Total teleop35
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points6
94Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
781
#11
50.62.5
51.448.9
Auto12.3
Teleop35.5
End2.7
red by 18.6
4308
#12
32.01.2
33.532.3
Auto6.1
Teleop24.1
End1.7
Second
3739
#19
43.32.5
46.143.6
Auto6.6
Teleop33.8
End2.9
red by 22.6
6135
#26
20.61.2
21.820.6
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Third
6725
#17
32.82.5
31.529.0
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
red by 22.7
9659
#22
10.11.2
10.79.5
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed