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Red197
999628.1
999726.1
909851.2
Blue114
808930.9
1001521.5
270251.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86106050150200197114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+57Teleop
+77Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
6Leave9
10Coral scored#1
52Coral points7
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points68
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
24Processor points12
32Net points12
56Algae points24
107Total teleop92
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#4
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
6Foul points0
197Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#10
51.28.0
42.650.6
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
blue by 0.2
2702
#13
51.41.0
47.348.3
Auto6.8
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
9996
#21
28.113.3
12.626.0
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5
blue by 2.8
8089
#23
30.91.0
31.432.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
Third
9997
#14
26.113.3
13.326.6
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
red by 4.6
21.51.0
17.418.4
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed