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Red199
34059.0
503237.7
494679.3
Blue189
415268.0
128545.1
201315.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195121050100150250300199189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
11Coral scored#9
57Coral points44
57Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +9
26Coral scored#28
92Coral points99
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
12Processor points18
16Net points12
28Algae points30
120Total teleop129
Reef
14L4#11
9L3#13
6L2#8
8L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
6Foul points0
199Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.31.0
79.980.9
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
red by 11.3
68.04.4
65.269.6
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
340
#4
59.01.0
54.255.2
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
red by 13.9
45.14.4
38.442.8
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.5
Third
37.71.0
35.436.4
Auto8.0
Teleop29.5
End0.3
red by 22.6
2013
#27
15.24.4
10.715.2
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
88%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned