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Red123
270251.4
613520.6
999726.1
Blue184
494679.3
965910.1
301565.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86188050150250300350123184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+37
Teleop+65
Endgame+77
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +37
6Leave9
2Coral scored#9
11Coral points45
17Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +28
17Coral scored#24
62Coral points88
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
86Total teleop114
Reef
7L4#13
5L3#7
5L2#8
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
16Foul points0
123Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#13
51.41.2
43.845.0
Auto6.8
Teleop39.4
End5.1
blue by 27.9
79.31.0
86.087.0
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
Second
9997
#14
26.12.0
14.716.8
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
blue by 39.9
65.91.0
61.062.0
Auto19.6
Teleop39.5
End6.9
Third
6135
#26
20.61.2
22.023.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.7
End0.9
red by 10.5
9659
#22
10.11.0
13.414.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned