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Red117
672532.8
122933.4
34059.0
Blue120
748039.7
909851.2
503237.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138146050100200250300350400117120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
36Total auto33
Teleoperatedlevel
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
73Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#7
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
117Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
59.01.2
58.957.7
Auto19.7
Teleop31.7
End7.6
red by 7.8
9098
#10
51.21.1
44.943.7
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
Second
1229
#15
33.41.2
33.732.4
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 6.4
39.71.1
46.445.3
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
Third
6725
#17
32.81.2
32.431.2
Auto8.2
Teleop23.3
End1.2
blue by 4.9
37.71.1
37.536.4
Auto8.0
Teleop29.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsMissed