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Red122
270820.8
491757.0
78150.6
Blue154
132577.0
415268.0
1001521.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159175050100200250300350400122154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+48
Endgame+40
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
6Coral scored#6
30Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +41
9Coral scored#20
34Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#7
12Processor points12
24Net points28
36Algae points40
70Total teleop111
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
8Foul points0
122Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4917
#20
57.03.0
65.562.4
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
blue by 20.0
77.01.1
73.472.3
Auto24.8
Teleop48.5
End3.7
Second
781
#11
50.63.0
56.253.1
Auto12.3
Teleop35.5
End2.7
blue by 17.4
68.01.1
73.472.3
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Third
2708
#18
20.83.0
30.127.1
Auto6.1
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 0.7
21.51.1
14.313.2
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed