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Red120
748039.7
909851.2
965910.1
Blue113
491757.0
999628.1
503237.7
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103130050150200250300120113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
+9Endgame
+7Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
29Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +3
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
65Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points2
120Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#10
51.20.5
50.651.0
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
blue by 5.8
4917
#20
57.00.2
55.755.5
Auto14.3
Teleop33.6
End9.0
Second
39.70.5
39.139.6
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
red by 2.0
37.70.2
36.436.3
Auto8.0
Teleop29.5
End0.3
Third
9659
#22
10.10.5
9.59.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
blue by 18.0
9996
#21
28.10.3
26.025.7
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End5.5