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Red146
494679.3
415268.0
808930.9
Blue128
86524.0
78150.6
122933.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21898050150200250300350146128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+32Teleop
+24Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points27
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#15
60Coral points54
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
24Processor points12
12Net points12
36Algae points24
96Total teleop78
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#7
3L2#2
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points6
146Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.30.8
80.980.1
Auto19.3
Teleop49.7
End10.3
red by 28.7
781
#11
50.60.4
48.949.3
Auto12.3
Teleop35.5
End2.7
Second
68.00.8
69.668.8
Auto21.1
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 34.6
1229
#15
33.40.4
31.732.1
Auto7.0
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
8089
#23
30.90.8
32.431.6
Auto6.0
Teleop19.5
End5.3
red by 6.8
865
#16
24.00.4
22.422.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End5.0