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Red113
748039.7
909851.2
965910.1
Blue145
270251.4
136044.9
1001521.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10412250150200113145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+32
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points20
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
11Coral scored#12
41Coral points44
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
55Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#8
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +32
6Foul points24
113Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9098
#10
51.20.1
51.151.2
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End11.1
blue by 0.2
2702
#13
51.40.1
50.750.8
Auto6.8
Teleop39.4
End5.1
Second
39.70.1
39.639.7
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End5.0
blue by 5.1
44.90.1
44.244.3
Auto9.1
Teleop31.6
End4.1
Third
9659
#22
10.10.1
10.010.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.9
End-1.1
blue by 11.4
21.50.1
20.820.9
Auto4.6
Teleop16.6
End0.4