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Red63
430837.4
91920.8
705817.3
Blue124
567221.4
611033.6
124164.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609705015063124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+59
Endgame+61
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
12Coral points26
15Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +42
9Coral scored#16
34Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
44Total teleop86
Reef
5L4#9
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points0
63Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.40.1
27.027.1
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
blue by 26.9
64.32.6
51.053.6
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
Second
919
#12
20.80.1
15.415.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
blue by 12.8
6110
#21
33.62.6
21.924.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Third
7058
#14
17.30.1
19.119.2
Auto8.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
blue by 4.1
5672
#15
21.42.6
12.615.2
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed