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Red108
540663.9
762316.9
697517.0
Blue69
356018.0
1016721.5
686532.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907405010015010869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+27Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +19
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
72Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
108Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.91.9
45.247.0
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 31.8
6865
#23
32.10.0
31.631.6
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Second
6975
#29
17.01.9
18.220.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 4.5
21.50.0
18.218.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Third
7623
#18
16.91.9
16.718.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 1.1
3560
#28
18.00.0
18.818.8
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed