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Red146
220080.7
611033.6
128538.9
Blue57
697517.0
124164.3
956218.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13010540608012014016018020014657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+81Teleop
+81Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
8Coral scored#7
38Coral points37
41Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +77
19Coral scored#3
67Coral points12
3Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
18Processor points0
8Net points4
26Algae points4
93Total teleop16
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#2
6L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
8Foul points0
146Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.1
64.865.8
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
red by 16.3
64.32.8
55.152.2
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
Second
38.91.1
27.929.0
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
red by 20.5
9562
#26
18.32.8
19.016.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.3
Third
6110
#21
33.61.1
26.427.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
red by 16.7
6975
#29
17.02.8
22.719.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed