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Red117
686532.1
238630.8
18848.1
Blue136
762316.9
132547.7
316149.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119450150200117136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+23
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
12Processor points12
12Net points24
24Algae points36
74Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#7
4L3#4
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
4Foul points0
117Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#19
48.10.9
46.347.1
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
blue by 1.3
49.43.2
44.447.5
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
Second
6865
#23
32.10.9
34.034.9
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
blue by 15.6
47.73.2
24.227.4
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Third
2386
#22
30.80.9
19.920.7
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
red by 13.8
7623
#18
16.93.2
20.123.2
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned