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Red107
702219.0
765930.9
1055441.0
Blue158
1053523.4
2056112.3
747532.0
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481800100150200250300107158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +32
14Coral scored#24
52Coral points86
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
80Total teleop112
Reef
6L4#10
4L3#9
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points2
107Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.03.2
28.331.4
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
blue by 71.2
112.30.1
99.699.6
Auto26.8
Teleop78.6
End6.8
Second
7659
#10
30.93.2
15.718.9
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
blue by 1.0
7475
#27
32.00.1
30.931.0
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
Third
7022
#25
19.03.2
12.615.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 4.4
23.40.1
21.421.5
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned