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Red105
697838.0
128538.9
316149.4
Blue102
220080.7
702219.0
356018.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201086080100140160180200105102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points18
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +15
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
88Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#4
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
105Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.4
46.345.9
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
blue by 31.2
80.70.0
65.865.8
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
Second
38.90.4
29.028.6
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
red by 19.9
7022
#25
19.00.0
15.815.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Third
6978
#13
38.00.4
35.134.8
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
red by 20.0
3560
#28
18.00.0
20.920.9
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed