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Red80
762316.9
747532.0
238630.8
Blue111
765930.9
111475.2
611033.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781315010015020080111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
62Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#10
3L3#6
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
80Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7475
#27
32.00.2
29.730.0
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
blue by 43.2
75.20.2
69.268.9
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
Second
2386
#22
30.80.2
23.924.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
blue by 2.8
6110
#21
33.60.2
26.726.5
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Third
7623
#18
16.90.2
23.123.3
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 14.0
7659
#10
30.90.2
18.818.5
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned