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Red101
1021824.1
686532.1
132547.7
Blue74
91920.8
1016721.5
133427.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11054010015020010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
60Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points16
101Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.1
30.630.7
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
red by 19.8
1334
#20
27.90.1
18.818.7
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
6865
#23
32.10.1
36.436.6
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
red by 10.7
21.50.1
16.316.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
Third
24.10.1
24.024.1
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
red by 3.3
919
#12
20.80.1
19.219.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed