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Red135
124164.3
760319.2
702219.0
Blue110
1053523.4
201312.1
540663.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9987406080120140160135110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
21Coral scored#13
75Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
99Total teleop73
Reef
6L4#7
9L3#4
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
2Foul points0
135Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.32.4
53.856.2
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
red by 0.5
63.91.4
47.849.2
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
Second
7603
#17
19.22.4
15.417.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
23.41.4
19.320.7
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
7022
#25
19.02.4
15.718.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 6.9
2013
#31
12.11.4
11.813.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned