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Red175
567221.4
2056112.3
697838.0
Blue134
1055441.0
697517.0
220080.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16911650100150200250175134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +24
20Coral scored#19
72Coral points70
6Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
36Processor points18
16Net points12
52Algae points30
124Total teleop100
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#6
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
37Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
175Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.31.5
101.2102.7
Auto26.8
Teleop78.6
End6.8
red by 31.6
80.71.3
65.867.1
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
Second
6978
#13
38.01.5
34.836.3
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
blue by 3.0
41.01.3
29.731.0
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
Third
5672
#15
21.41.5
16.117.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
red by 4.4
6975
#29
17.01.3
18.820.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
68%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed