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Red78
1021824.1
316149.4
91920.8
Blue151
124164.3
201312.1
111475.2
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions901565020025078151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+33
Teleop+73
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +33
0Leave6
3Coral scored#8
15Coral points42
15Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +40
10Coral scored#17
35Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
49Total teleop89
Reef
4L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
78Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.40.7
45.945.2
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
blue by 25.8
75.20.8
68.969.8
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
Second
24.10.7
24.123.4
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
blue by 40.2
64.30.8
56.257.0
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
Third
919
#12
20.80.7
19.118.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
red by 8.7
2013
#31
12.10.8
13.214.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned