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Red56
133427.9
747532.0
697517.0
Blue130
702219.0
238630.8
540663.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681035015056130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+60
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +39
8Coral scored#15
29Coral points54
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
39Total teleop78
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#8
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#4
11Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
6Foul points6
56Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7475
#27
32.01.3
30.028.7
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
blue by 31.9
63.92.2
49.251.3
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
Second
1334
#20
27.91.3
18.717.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
blue by 2.9
2386
#22
30.82.2
24.126.3
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Third
6975
#29
17.01.3
20.118.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.4
End1.7
blue by 2.0
7022
#25
19.02.2
18.120.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned