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Red113
1055441.0
430837.4
1053523.4
Blue211
132547.7
765930.9
220080.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86129050100150200113211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+86
Endgame+98
Fouls+98
AutonomousBlue +31
0Leave0
4Coral scored#10
20Coral points51
20Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +55
19Coral scored#27
69Coral points96
2Processor algae#4
2Net algae#6
12Processor points24
8Net points24
20Algae points48
89Total teleop144
Reef
7L4#16
8L3#6
4L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +98
0Foul points0
113Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.5
31.032.5
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
blue by 39.6
80.75.9
67.173.0
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
Second
37.41.5
33.435.0
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
blue by 10.2
47.75.9
30.736.6
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Third
23.41.5
20.722.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 7.5
7659
#10
30.95.9
18.524.4
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned