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Red72
1016721.5
697838.0
1021824.1
Blue127
316149.4
238630.8
611033.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851135010015020072127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+41
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
61Total teleop85
Reef
4L4#9
4L3#3
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
72Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6978
#13
38.00.7
39.038.2
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
blue by 11.4
49.41.8
45.246.9
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
Second
24.10.7
23.422.6
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
blue by 9.5
6110
#21
33.61.8
29.230.9
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Third
21.50.7
17.616.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
blue by 9.3
2386
#22
30.81.8
26.328.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned