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Red107
18848.1
356018.0
124164.3
Blue97
133427.9
702219.0
567221.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14642010020025010797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+14Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
78Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
107Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.31.2
57.055.9
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
red by 36.4
1334
#20
27.92.5
17.419.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Second
188
#19
48.11.2
47.946.7
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
red by 26.8
5672
#15
21.42.5
16.218.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End4.9
Third
3560
#28
18.01.2
19.518.4
Auto3.7
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 0.9
7022
#25
19.02.5
20.322.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed