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Red147
91920.8
220080.7
1053523.4
Blue108
765930.9
686532.1
540663.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12012280100140160180147108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+61Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points20
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +51
22Coral scored#10
78Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
110Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#5
10L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points2
147Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.8
73.074.9
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
red by 16.8
63.90.4
51.351.0
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
Second
23.41.8
22.224.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 8.7
6865
#23
32.10.4
35.635.2
Auto6.0
Teleop23.0
End3.1
Third
919
#12
20.81.8
18.420.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
blue by 10.1
7659
#10
30.90.4
24.424.1
Auto4.2
Teleop19.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned