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Red98
760319.2
1055441.0
747532.0
Blue124
128538.9
956218.3
132547.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9298608012014016098124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points67
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
70Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#12
3L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
10Foul points2
98Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.00.5
32.533.0
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
blue by 6.7
47.72.4
36.639.0
Auto12.6
Teleop32.0
End3.2
Second
7475
#27
32.00.5
28.729.2
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
blue by 6.9
38.92.4
31.634.0
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Third
7603
#17
19.20.5
16.817.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
red by 0.9
9562
#26
18.32.4
15.517.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed