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Red159
2056112.3
702219.0
762316.9
Blue102
611033.6
430837.4
1021824.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17078050100150200250159102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+53Teleop
+61Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +32
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points62
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
18Processor points6
28Net points8
46Algae points14
108Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points4
159Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.30.4
104.4104.8
Auto26.8
Teleop78.6
End6.8
red by 74.8
37.40.4
33.433.7
Auto8.5
Teleop26.8
End2.1
Second
7022
#25
19.00.4
22.823.2
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 14.7
6110
#21
33.60.4
30.931.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Third
7623
#18
16.90.4
20.020.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.4
End2.7
blue by 7.2
24.10.4
22.623.0
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed