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Red179
220080.7
540663.9
705817.3
Blue101
201312.1
697838.0
91920.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160620100200250179101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+90Teleop
+104Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave9
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points3
47Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
22Coral scored#13
78Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
116Total teleop61
Reef
13L4#5
9L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points26
179Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.72.4
74.977.3
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
red by 42.6
6978
#13
38.00.3
38.238.6
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
Second
63.92.4
51.053.4
Auto13.1
Teleop41.1
End9.7
red by 43.1
919
#12
20.80.3
20.220.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Third
7058
#14
17.32.4
16.719.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.2
End2.1
red by 5.2
2013
#31
12.10.3
12.012.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed