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Red171
124164.3
1016721.5
1055441.0
Blue86
18848.1
128538.9
760319.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12410705015020025017186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+85Teleop
+85Endgame
+85Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +85
25Coral scored#10
91Coral points36
2Processor algae#1
9Net algae#3
12Processor points6
36Net points12
48Algae points18
139Total teleop54
Reef
14L4#4
5L3#4
7L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
0Foul points0
171Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.33.3
55.959.1
Auto17.3
Teleop44.9
End2.2
red by 16.2
188
#19
48.11.9
46.744.7
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
Second
41.03.3
33.036.3
Auto7.5
Teleop31.8
End1.7
red by 2.2
38.91.9
34.032.1
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Third
21.53.3
16.920.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.9
End0.9
red by 2.3
7603
#17
19.21.9
17.315.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed