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Red65
128538.9
702219.0
747532.0
Blue139
697838.0
133427.9
111475.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113905010015020065139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+76
Endgame+72
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +56
9Coral scored#21
34Coral points76
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
52Total teleop108
Reef
3L4#9
2L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
14Game pieces#32
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points2
65Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.2
25.725.5
Auto7.9
Teleop29.2
End1.7
blue by 36.3
75.21.5
65.466.8
Auto21.3
Teleop50.2
End3.7
Second
7475
#27
32.00.2
31.231.0
Auto2.5
Teleop26.4
End3.0
blue by 6.1
6978
#13
38.01.5
29.831.2
Auto3.4
Teleop33.4
End1.3
Third
7022
#25
19.00.2
10.810.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 8.9
1334
#20
27.91.5
19.821.3
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed