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Red140
316149.4
220080.7
760319.2
Blue104
18848.1
1021824.1
1053523.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12994050150200140104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#13
50Coral points48
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
92Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
14Foul points6
140Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.70.1
63.163.3
Auto21.5
Teleop56.3
End2.9
red by 32.5
188
#19
48.10.1
43.543.7
Auto14.2
Teleop29.3
End4.6
Second
49.40.1
41.641.8
Auto12.2
Teleop30.8
End6.4
red by 25.3
24.10.1
22.622.8
Auto4.5
Teleop17.3
End2.3
Third
7603
#17
19.20.1
11.311.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.9
blue by 4.2
23.40.1
20.620.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed